Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualGets nothing 92.5%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado17 ene 26, 19:28 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
On January 15, 2026, Maria Machando gave her Nobel prize to Donald Trump.
- Will Trump give her absolutely nothing in exchange?
- What counts as "something": An endorsement from Trump, political/military/media action intended to advance Machado's political career, any political favor done at her request, any gift valued over $50,000.
- Endorsements must make mention of her political career.
- Merely stating "She's a lovely woman, she recognized I deserve the peace prize" does NOT count.
- Saying "She won the popular vote" or "they rigged the election against her like they did to me" would count.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Maria Machado get nothing in exchange for her Nobel prize? (in 2026)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Gets nothing al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Maria Machado get nothing in exchange for her Nobel prize? (in 2026)?
- Está previsto que Will Maria Machado get nothing in exchange for her Nobel prize? (in 2026) se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Maria Machado get nothing in exchange for her Nobel prize? (in 2026)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: On January 15, 2026, Maria Machando gave her Nobel prize to Donald Trump.