Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Not by 2030 60%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado5 ene 25, 8:35 UTC1 ene 31, 12:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Mircea Cărtărescu is a renowned Romanian novelist, poet, and essayist who has been consistently mentioned as a top contender for the Nobel Prize in Literature.
- He was among the favorites for the 2024 prize and continues to be considered a strong candidate for future awards.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the year in which Mircea Cărtărescu wins the Nobel Prize in Literature.
- If he wins the prize in any year from 2025 through 2030, the corresponding year option will resolve as YES, with all other options resolving as NO.
- If he does not win the prize by the end of 2030, "the named outcome" will resolve as YES, with all other options resolving as NO.
Mercados abiertos
Awards
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Not by 2030 al 60% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)??
- Está previsto que When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Mircea Cărtărescu win a Nobel Prize in Literature (2025-2030)??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Mircea Cărtărescu is a renowned Romanian novelist, poet, and essayist who has been consistently mentioned as a top contender for the Nobel Prize in Literature.