¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2026??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 99% a fecha de 24 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2026??

Está previsto que Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 99%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Actualizado hace 23 minutos

31 ago 23, 18:39 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC

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Resultado24hProbabilidad

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Katalin Karikó (see Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Katalin_Karik%C3%B3) pioneered the science behind mRNA vaccines.

She has many of the major awards that normally preceed a Nobel Prize (Japan Prize, Lasker, &c), but has not yet won a Nobel Prize.
Resolves YES if she wins any Prize in 2026 even if shared.
This market will resolve once all the science prizes are announced (or earlier if she announced as a winner), which should be the case by mid October 2026.
Note that this market is for 2026 specifically, if she wins before, that will not count towards this market! A potential earlier win will also not immediately resolve NO because there is a chance she will be awarded a Prize in multiple years.