Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNetanyahu comes to NYC in 2026, is NOT arrested there 93.2%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-1.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado20 nov 25, 16:31 UTC31 dic 26, 16:24 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Mamdani arrest Bibi before 2027?
Manifold MarketsThe steps at the foot of the New York State Capital have been closed for 10 years, will they open again before EOY 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhen Iran’s new Supreme Leader (Mojtaba Khamenei) dies or steps down, who will be the next next Supreme Leader?
Manifold MarketsWill the ICC issue an arrest warrant against a sitting world leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
PolymarketReglas
De facto includes UN HQ, as to my understanding it is not possible to enter it without first entering NYC.
- If Netanyahu resorts to some sort of helicopter landing on top of the UN HQ compound or something, then idk I'll probably have to resolve N/A. I'll interpret arrest fairly broadly.
- For example, if Netanyahu is detained by NYC officials in any capacity, even if he is then immediately released into federal custody or something, that will still resolve.
