Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 53.2%
Pronosticadores
41
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
31 jul 26, 9:06 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
PolymarketWill Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Lindsay Clancy stand trial again for killing her three children?
Manifold MarketsWill Karmelo Anthony be convicted of first-degree murder for the killing of Austin Metcalf?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Lindsay Clancy is found legally guilty (convicted) of murder, manslaughter, or any criminally culpable charge related to the deaths of her three children (Cora, Dawson, and Callan Clancy).
- This includes:
- A jury or bench verdict of guilty on any degree of murder or manslaughter.
- A negotiated plea deal where she pleads guilty or no contest (nolo contendere) to any degree of murder or manslaughter.
- This market resolves to NO if she is found not guilty, or if she is found "not criminally responsible" (the Massachusetts standard for Not Guilty by Reason of Insanity / legal insanity) for all charges relating to the deaths.
Mercados abiertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volumen total
- 347,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 27,4 mil €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volumen total
- 497,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,5 mil €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volumen total
- 676 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,2 mil €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,6 mil €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volumen total
- 577,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,7 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 53% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children??
- Está previsto que Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria