Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.9%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 20 horas
Desactualizado14 nov 23, 16:54 UTC1 ene 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Did Israel execute unarmed Gazans on December 19th for no good reason?
Manifold MarketsWill Vietnam execute someone for fraud?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketIsraeli Legislative Election Winner
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketReglas
They have executed 2 people so far: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_punishment_in_Israel#Executed_people and only have capital punishment for things like genocide.
- It's quite possible they could capture, try, and execute Sinwar or someone like that for genocide.
- Resolves positive if there is an execution on or before 1 January 2030.