Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopolítica5dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 63%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
10 sept 26, 18:40 UTC17 sept 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if, by September 18, 2026 at 23:59 UTC, the Iranian government or an authorized Iranian state body publicly unveils a new specific shipping corridor through the Strait of Hormuz, providing sufficiently concrete routing or operational details for it to constitute more than a statement of intent.
- A qualifying announcement may come from the Iranian government, Supreme National Security Council, an authorized maritime or ports authority, or another official state body.
- Statements merely saying that Iran plans, intends, or expects to announce a new corridor do not qualify.
- Publication of an official map, defined route, coordinates, operational rules, or another clear description of the new corridor qualifies as YES.
- The market resolves NO if no such official announcement has occurred by the deadline.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 63% a fecha de 12 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026? se resuelva el 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria