¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

InflationOne-OffEconomía Foreign Exchange China

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 65%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 32 minutos

21 abr 23, 20:10 UTC31 dic 50, 22:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

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Reglas

This question will resolve as YES if China's nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) surpasses that of the United States before December 31, 2050, based on International Monetary Fund (IMF) data.

The resolution will not take into account other economic indicators such as Gross National Product (GNP), Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), or other alternative measures of economic power.
The determination of the nominal GDP of China and the United States will be based on the current market exchange rate, not adjusted for inflation or other factors.
In the event of a significant discrepancy in economic data between the IMF and other reputable sources, the resolution will defer to the IMF figures.

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

InflationOne-OffEconomía Foreign Exchange China

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 65%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 32 minutos

21 abr 23, 20:10 UTC31 dic 50, 22:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Mercados Relacionados

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Will the United States overtake China in PPP GDP by 2050?

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Will the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q4 2026?

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Will the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q3 2026?

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World’s largest company at the end of 2026

Futuur

Reglas

This question will resolve as YES if China's nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) surpasses that of the United States before December 31, 2050, based on International Monetary Fund (IMF) data.

The resolution will not take into account other economic indicators such as Gross National Product (GNP), Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), or other alternative measures of economic power.
The determination of the nominal GDP of China and the United States will be based on the current market exchange rate, not adjusted for inflation or other factors.
In the event of a significant discrepancy in economic data between the IMF and other reputable sources, the resolution will defer to the IMF figures.

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050??: Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050??: Está previsto que Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2050.
¿Cómo se liquida Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050??: Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This question will resolve as YES if China's nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) surpasses that of the United States before December 31, 2050, based on International Monetary Fund (IMF) data.

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?

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