Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 80.9%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado10 nov 23, 2:48 UTC1 ene 30, 15:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves YES if there is credible evidence that the PRC has deployed ground troops on Burmese territory.
- It could be with or without the permission of the junta or rebel forces.
- The only qualification is that military drills and exercises do not count, nor would small ceremonial attachments for, say, a state funeral.
- There is no requirement for Chinese forces to engage in combat.
- I will adjudicate this market and will not bet in it.
- The weight of evidence should be such that a reasonable person seems it more likely than not that China has deployed troops.
