Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 89.6%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado27 dic 25, 17:11 UTC31 dic 27, 17:10 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Caroline Ellison resume posting on Tumblr when she is released from prison?
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KalshiSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by which date?
PolymarketKanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?
PolymarketReglas
Los criterios de resolución aún no están disponibles para este mercado. Las próximas actualizaciones completarán esta sección cuando se hayan guardado las reglas de la fuente.
Mercados abiertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volumen total
- 347,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 27,4 mil €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volumen total
- 497,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,5 mil €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volumen total
- 676 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,2 mil €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,6 mil €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volumen total
- 577,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,7 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Caroline Ellison be arrested before 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 90% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Caroline Ellison be arrested before 2028??
- Está previsto que Will Caroline Ellison be arrested before 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.