Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.5%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
22 mar 25, 22:49 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Iceland become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Switzerland become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Norway become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Canada become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill Canada become an EU Associate Member by year-end 2027?
PredictItReglas
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Canada has become a member of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- This also applies if a main successor to Canada joins a main successor to the EU before that date. “Strong evidence” may include formal accession treaties, official announcements by relevant governing bodies, or other clear confirmation that membership has been granted.
- If there is no such membership or evidence thereof by January 1st 2040, the market will resolve as NO.
