Will brazilians be better off at the end of 2026?
InflaciónOne-OffSalud y medicinaPolítica comercialAmérica LatinaBancos centralesMacro y economíaEconomía2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 54.2%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado6 ene 26, 15:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, Brazilians are better off overall compared to January 1, 2026 across three dimensions: economic conditions, health, and employment.
- Resolution will be based on official data from credible sources including the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), the Central Bank of Brazil, and international organizations (IMF, World Bank, OECD).
- Economic indicators: Real GDP growth, inflation rate, real wages, and household purchasing power measured via official statistics.
- Health indicators: Life expectancy, infant mortality, healthcare access metrics, or disease prevalence data from Brazil's Ministry of Health or WHO.
- Employment indicators: Unemployment rate, employment levels, labor force participation, and wage growth from IBGE.