Will US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
One-OffFedInflaciónBonos y TesoroPolítica comercialBancos centrales1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 50.4%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado15 sept 26, 2:07 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by which date?
PolymarketUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTechnical default on US Treasury debt by 1/20/2029
Manifold MarketsWill Bitcoin become US Treasury reserve asset by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Treasury issue a new General License authorizing broad oil operations in Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if on any daily reporting date before January 1, 2028, the official 10-year US Treasury yield is reported at or above 6.00%.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- The primary source of truth for resolution is:
- The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) series DGS10 (Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity).
- If FRED is unavailable or ceases publication, the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates ("10 Yr" column) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury will be used as the secondary source.
