Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 64.8%
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado14 mar 25, 7:44 UTC1 may 28, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
KalshiWill AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?
PolymarketWill Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC run for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?
PredictItWill AOC run for President or for the Senate in 2028?
Manifold MarketsReglas
There have been recent calls from Democrats for Alexandria Ocasio Cortez to primary Chuck Schumer because of how he's handled the prospect of a government shutdown.
- Will AOC run for senate in New York in 2028?
- Note: She doesn't have to win for this to resolve yes.
- She just has to be on the ballot.
Mercados abiertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 90,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 358,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,8 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 548,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 29,8 mil €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,7 mil €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 17,7 mil €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Volumen total
- 310,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 mil €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will AOC run for senate in 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will AOC run for senate in 2028??
- Está previsto que Will AOC run for senate in 2028? se resuelva el 1 de mayo de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will AOC run for senate in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: There have been recent calls from Democrats for Alexandria Ocasio Cortez to primary Chuck Schumer because of how he's handled the prospect of a government shutdown.