Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 98.6%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado10 ago 25, 9:10 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Market will be resolved to Yes if at least one of the open problems from DeepMind's formal-conjectures gets decided before 2027.
- Only problems which is added to the main branch of the repository before the creation of this market will be considered.
- The problem should have 'open' tag and should be completely proven via Lean
Mercados abiertos
AI
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 75,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 61,5 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 61,1 mil €
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 resultados más
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 99% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Market will be resolved to Yes if at least one of the open problems from DeepMind's formal-conjectures gets decided before 2027.