KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Claude 89.7%Líder entre 9 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
76 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
24,2 mil €
Liquidez
21,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
14 sept 26, 16:00 UTC21 sept 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 70,3 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,4 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 20,9 mil €
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-0.5pt89%
- October 31-2.0pt72%
- September 30-5.0pt11%
+4 resultados más
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Best AI this week?
- Kalshi cotiza Claude al 90% a fecha de 15 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Best AI this week?
- Está previsto que Best AI this week se resuelva el 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Best AI this week?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.