KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before 2027 82%Líder entre 6 opciones
Calidad del mercado
29 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
201,1 €
Liquidez
201,1 €
Baja liquidezSpread
39.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
12 sept 26, 22:00 UTC7 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Is the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture true?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
KalshiWill any of DeepMind's formal conjectures be resolved before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will P vs NP be resolved?
KalshiWhen will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?
KalshiWill P vs NP be resolved by 2043?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2027 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The Washington PostThe Economistthe Clay Mathematics Institutethe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street Journalthe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Guardianthe Associated PressReuters
- For purposes of this Contract, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time:
- A peer-reviewed article presenting a complete proof, a complete disproof, or a counterexample establishing the falsity of the conjecture, in the conjecture's original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been published in one or more Source Agency peer-reviewed journals.
- A recognized authoritative body for the academic field of the conjecture, including but not limited to Clay Mathematics Institute, the American Mathematical Society, the International Mathematical Union, a national academy of sciences, the Nobel Foundation, or an equivalent governing or recognition body for the relevant academic field, has officially recognized in a written communication that the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies have published reporting describing the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, as having been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work, and no Source Agency has, prior to the Expiration time, published reporting that such written work has been formally retracted by its author(s) or by any publishing journal, has been formally withdrawn or repudiated by its author(s), or contains an identified error that has not been publicly corrected or addressed by the author(s) in a subsequent publication or amendment.
- If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
Science
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt4%
- September 30-0.6pt1%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 59,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 176,8 mil €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-1.1pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 29,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 271 mil €
POLYMARKETAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- No+10.9pt97%
- Yes-10.9pt3%
- Volumen total
- 24,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,9 mil €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-1.5pt75.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-1.0pt0%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-1.6pt73%
- No27%
- Volumen total
- 302,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,8 mil €
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- US solar capacity installed in 2026
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved??
- Kalshi cotiza Before 2027 al 82% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved??
- Está previsto que When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved? se resuelva el 7 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2027 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.