Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 85%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado8 sept 22, 6:10 UTC31 dic 99, 12:00 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birch_and_Swinnerton-Dyer_conjecture
Mercados abiertos
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt4%
- September 30-0.6pt1%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 59,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 176,8 mil €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-1.1pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 29,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 271 mil €
POLYMARKETAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- No+10.9pt97%
- Yes-10.9pt3%
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- 24,2 mil €
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- 3,9 mil €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-1.5pt75.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-1.0pt0%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-1.6pt73%
- No27%
- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
- 2,8 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Is the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture true??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 85% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Is the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture true??
- Está previsto que Is the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture true? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2999.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Is the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture true??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birch_and_Swinnerton-Dyer_conjecture