KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Hodge Conjecture 92%+45.0ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
33 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
344,6 €
Liquidez
1 mil €
Baja liquidezSpread
85.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
12 sept 26, 22:00 UTC1 ene 45, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
If the named outcome is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The GuardianNational Academy of Sciences of the United StatesFinancial TimesAssociated Pressthe Clay Mathematics InstituteNaturearXiv preprint repository operated by Cornell UniversityRoyal Societythe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Washington Postthe New York TimesMax Planck SocietyAmerican Association for the Advancement of ScienceBritish Broadcasting CorporationQuanta MagazineThe Wall Street JournalFrench Academy of SciencesBloomberg NewsReutersProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesThe Economist
- A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:
- A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.
- The Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.
- If multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? · Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness 98%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next??
- Kalshi cotiza Hodge Conjecture al 92% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next??
- Está previsto que Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2045.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Manifold Markets.