PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
7.9 or below 76.5%Líder entre 7 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
63 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
43 €
Liquidez
6,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+1.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
18 ago 26, 14:53 UTC4 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
This market will resolve based on the USGS preferred magnitude of the largest (highest-magnitude) earthquake to occur anywhere on Earth between January 1, 2026, 12:00:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET.
- The "the named outcome" bracket covers any case in which the highest-magnitude earthquake during this market's timeframe is below 8.0, including the magnitude 7.8 already recorded in 2026 and any lower value.
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
- Magnitude is measured to one decimal place (e.g., 7.9).
- The USGS preferred magnitude at the end of this market's open period governs; later revisions do not reopen or change this market's resolution.
- An extension period extends this market's close from January 3, 2027, 11:59:59 PM ET to as late as January 7, 2027, 11:59:59 PM ET, and applies when a qualifying earthquake has occurred within this market's timeframe but the USGS has not yet published or finalized its preferred magnitude.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza 7.9 or below al 77% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026??
- Está previsto que Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026? se resuelva el 4 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve based on the USGS preferred magnitude of the largest (highest-magnitude) earthquake to occur anywhere on Earth between January 1, 2026, 12:00:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET.