Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 83%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado19 sept 23, 15:06 UTC2 ene 28, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Will an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2030
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PolymarketReglas
It should be mostly undamaged.
- Either captured, or taken after forced landing, or similar.
- Something like the Hainan incident would count. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hainan_Island_incident
- Even if the pilot has a chance to manually destroy sensitive aspects of the plane before being taken, as long as the exterior is mostly intact it would count.
- Even a crash which the pilot walks away from would likely result in a plane in good enough condition to count.
Mercados abiertos
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- Volumen 24h
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2027?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 83% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2027?
- Está previsto que Will an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2027 se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will an F-35 be captured or in possession of an adversary any time through 2027?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: It should be mostly undamaged.