Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 58.6%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
8 jul 26, 18:36 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
Manifold MarketsHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?
PolymarketWill __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
Polymarket0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by which date?
PolymarketReglas
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Mercados abiertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.0pt77%
- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+10.5pt66%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 500,6 mil €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 9,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 266,3 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt50.4%
- October 31-3.0pt27.8%
- September 30+1.0pt12.2%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 56,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 190,8 mil €
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+5.5pt22%
- October 31+9.0pt18%
- September 30+3.9pt7%
+9 resultados más
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 59% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030??
- Está previsto que Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.