Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
After Jan. 1 2027 94.9%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+1.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado24 sept 24, 1:57 UTC2 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PredictItTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketReglas
This month (Sep. 2024), Diddy was arrested and charged with racketeering conspiracy, sex trafficking by force, fraud or coercion, and transportation to engage in prostitution.
- If convicted, he could face a minimum of 15 years to life in prison.
Mercados abiertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volumen total
- 347,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,4 mil €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,8 mil €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volumen total
- 498,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will Diddy (Sean Combs) die, of any cause??
- Manifold Markets cotiza After Jan. 1 2027 al 95% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will Diddy (Sean Combs) die, of any cause??
- Está previsto que When will Diddy (Sean Combs) die, of any cause? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will Diddy (Sean Combs) die, of any cause??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This month (Sep. 2024), Diddy was arrested and charged with racketeering conspiracy, sex trafficking by force, fraud or coercion, and transportation to engage in prostitution.