Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualhas had a 6 month period with no public mention from Musk 100%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
53
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+6.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado8 jul 25, 16:36 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
Manifold MarketsAny of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
KalshiAmerica party candidate wins any election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the America Party be more successful than the Forward Party by the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
KalshiReglas
I do not bet on my own markets.
- Resolves according to official or primary documents where possible.
- If official documents are not applicable, resolves according to media reporting.
- Note: this is by that date, options will resolve sooner when they are verified to have happened.
- AI garbage to disregard below this line:
- Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): January 7th, 2025 has been tentatively set as a possible end date for tracking mentions of the "America Party" by Elon Musk (based on 6 months after his last known mention on July 7th, 2024), unless he mentions it again or a later mention is found.
