Will the America Party be more successful than the Forward Party by the 2026 midterm elections?
Materias primasOne-OffElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 2026PolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 2:28 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 92.7%
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17
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado6 jul 25, 8:24 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
I'll score each party based on federal elected officials:
- 1 point for each House member
- 10 points for each Senator
- 100 points for President
- (I understand this is a very crude measure, but it has the benefit of being relatively easy to evaluate.)
- The Forward party currently has a score of 12: