Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
PolíticaOne-OffWeatherUS PoliticsElección3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 98.2%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado9 jul 25, 21:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a third party candidate officially affiliated with the America Party is officially declared the winner of a seat in the U.S. Congress (either the House of Representatives or the Senate; federal US Congress only) in the 2026 elections.
- Official election results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC) or the respective state election authorities will serve as the primary sources for resolution.
- If no America Party candidate wins a congressional seat in 2026, the market will resolve to "No."
- The candidate should not be a nominee for the Republican or Democratic Party, so if a candidate informally identifies as "America Party" but is a Republican or Democratic Party nominee, their win will not be sufficient to resolve this market "Yes".
- The America Party, founded by Elon Musk, aims to influence U.S. politics by focusing on key swing states and competitive congressional districts.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026?
- Está previsto que Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria