KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 86%
Calidad del mercado
46 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
1,9 mil €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
7.7% / 14.0%
Spread
6.3 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
27 ago 25, 20:45 UTC8 sept 28, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will any America Party candidate be on a federal or gubernatorial ballot before 2027?
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PolymarketReglas
If a party founded by Elon Musk contests the 2028 U.S. presidential election by having at least one candidate officially on the ballot before Sep 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Reutersthe Associated PressBloombergThe New York TimesThe GuardianThe Wall Street JournalCNNAl Jazeera
- A party "contests" an election if they have at least one candidate on the official ballot under the party name, participate in a formal coalition on the ballot, or have officially endorsed candidates with clear party affiliation.
- The party does NOT contest if they only endorse other parties' candidates, announce a boycott, fail to meet ballot access requirements, or only challenge results after voting without having participated.
- For multi-round elections, appearing on any round's ballot counts.
- For federal systems, contesting in any state/province counts for the federal election.
- If the election is postponed but occurs within one year, the contract remains valid.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 86% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election??
- Está previsto que Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election? se resuelva el 8 de septiembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If a party founded by Elon Musk contests the 2028 U.S. presidential election by having at least one candidate officially on the ballot before Sep 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.