Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 96.1%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado10 jul 25, 1:17 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
While 10% of the vote would not win the seat, by taking votes from other candidates, 10% may be enough to change the outcome of an election and influence the final composition of the House of Representatives and even which party has a house majority.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any official candidate nominated by the America Party receives at least 10% of the total votes in any U.S. Congressional seat (House or Senate) during the 2026 elections.
- Official election results from the Federal Election Commission (FEC) or respective state election authorities will serve as the primary sources for verification.
- For this item to resolve yes, the candidate must be a nominee or member of the America Party, and CANNOT be an official nominee of the Democrat or Republican Party.
- Refers to the federal U.S. Congress only, not state legislatures.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026??
- Está previsto que Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: While 10% of the vote would not win the seat, by taking votes from other candidates, 10% may be enough to change the outcome of an election and influence the final composition of the House of Representatives and even which party has a house majority.