Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 71%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado15 feb 26, 23:23 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsUS unemployment rate at year-end 2026
KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2035.
- Source: U.S. Census Bureau and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey (IPUMS)
- https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/college-labor-market#--:explore:unemployment
- The highest data-point so far was 13.4% in May 2020 at the beginning of COVID.
- 2030 market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/unemployment-rate-for-recent-us-col
Mercados abiertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 90,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,5 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 358,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 35,8 mil €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 548,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 29,8 mil €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP-23.0pt71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP-2.0pt58%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,7 mil €
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+3.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-4.0pt32%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 17,7 mil €
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-2.0pt22%
- Volumen total
- 310,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 mil €
- Recession this year?
- CPI in September
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 71% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035??
- Está previsto que Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2034.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Unemployment rate for recent US college grads exceeds 25% before 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the unemployment for recent US college grads exceeds 25% at any point before 2035.