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No 71.5%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado23 abr 26, 16:55 UTC20 abr 50, 16:51 UTC
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German Parliament (German Bundestag):
- The next new party (i.e., not the re-entry of an existing party such as the FDP, nor the splitting of a party already represented in the Bundestag into newly named subgroups) to enter the Bundestag will be an Islamic party.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the next political party to enter the German Bundestag (German federal parliament) that was not previously represented in the current legislative period is primarily based on Islamic principles or explicitly identifies as an Islamic party.
- For the purposes of this market:
- "Entering the Bundestag" means gaining at least one seat in the Bundestag following a federal election or by-election.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 72% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️?
- Está previsto que The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️ se resuelva el 20 de abril de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida The next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: German Parliament (German Bundestag):