Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 85.2%
Pronosticadores
37
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado3 ene 26, 18:14 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Free & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsVenezuela presidential election scheduled by which date?
PolymarketVenezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketWho will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
KalshiMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketVenezuela crude oil production in September
KalshiReglas
This question resolves YES if a presidential election takes place in Venezuela on or before December 31, 2026, where:
- The election is for the office of President of Venezuela
- Voting occurs (whether the election is considered free/fair internationally is not relevant for resolution)
- The election is officially conducted by Venezuelan governmental authorities
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Update 2026-01-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Venezuelan governmental authorities" means whatever authority controls the territory of Venezuela, including:
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 606,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 721 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 411,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 85% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026??
- Está previsto que Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This question resolves YES if a presidential election takes place in Venezuela on or before December 31, 2026, where: