Will Brazil revoke the new eVisa requirement for US citizens, cancel the border for USA passport holders in 2026?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónGeopolíticaAmérica Latina2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.8%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado20 dic 25, 20:52 UTC31 dic 26, 21:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many UN recognized states will cancel the borders for USA citizens in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many Mexico border seats will Dems win in the house?
PolymarketIf Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many naturalized US citizens will be denaturalized between February 1, 2025 and February 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsBetween Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US citizens be killed by US military members on US soil?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Description: This market resolves to YES if the government of Brazil officially reinstates visa-free entry for United States citizens for tourism/business purposes at any point between 1 January 2026 and December 31, 2026.
- It resolves to NO if the eVisa (or a traditional visa) remains mandatory for US citizens throughout the entirety of 2026.
- Current Status: Since April 10, 2025, US citizens require an eVisa to enter Brazil.
- Legislative Uncertainty: The Brazilian Senate has previously voted to suspend this new measure, but that requires approval from the Chamber of Deputies and presidential sanction/veto considerations to become law.
- 2026 Outlook: Current consular guidance states that throughout 2026, "You cannot just show up with a USA passport anymore when travel to Brazil."
- This market tracks if that policy holds or is overturned.
