Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)
Will we know that Epstein didn't kill himself by 2028?
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
Will Israel be a democracy in 2030?
Brazil in the top 10-20% countries in the 2027 Democracy Report ranking?
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Reglas
Will there be a major change with Trump's election such that the U.S. does not live in a traditional US Democracy anymore? Such conditions would include things like: Trump running for a 3rd term, declaration of Martial Law at any point, removing Supreme Court Justices or ignoring a material order from SCOTUS, Executive Branch overturning a certified election result, refusing a transition of power, etc. This will be certified "yes" if a major event occurs that is considered a fundamental ending of our democracy as we know it and multiple major news organizations declare as much.
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