Will Trump pardon Maduro?
One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolíticaElecciónCrime & JusticeLatin AmericaPolítica3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 61.6%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado3 ene 26, 14:15 UTC4 ene 30, 14:15 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- The Trump Administration has called Maduro's government "illegitimate" and accused the Venezuelan President of being a "narco-terrorist".
- This market resolves YES if Trump grants Maduro a pardon before leaving office.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the White House or Trump's social media accounts.
- The market resolves NO if Trump's presidency ends without such a pardon being issued.
- Trump has taken very different approaches in his relationships with the two men—threatening to deploy military force in an escalating pressure campaign against one, while offering the other clemency, referring to Maduro and former Honduran President Hernández respectively.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump pardon Maduro??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 62% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump pardon Maduro??
- Está previsto que Will Trump pardon Maduro? se resuelva el 4 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump pardon Maduro??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria