Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to capital punishment by US courts
América LatinaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.PolíticaCrimen y justicia3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 18:26 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 77.5%
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Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado3 ene 26, 15:33 UTC1 ene 30, 15:33 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves YES if Nicolás Maduro is sentenced to capital punishment by any US court before January 1, 2030.
- Clarifications:
- Courts included: Any US federal or state court with jurisdiction
- Sentence timing: Counts when the trial court issues the sentence, regardless of appeals status or subsequent overturn
- Multiple trials: If sentenced in ANY trial, resolves YES (prior acquittals don't matter)
- Does NOT count: International tribunals, foreign courts, or courts with US participation but not US courts proper
