PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Javier Milei 51.5%Líder entre 64 opciones
Calidad del mercado
80 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
3,4 mil €
Liquidez
97,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
0.4% / 0.7%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
1 may 26, 22:1024 oct 27, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Javier Milei53%
Comparar plataformas· Javier Milei
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 53% | — | 3,4 mil € | 97,2 mil € | hace 8 minutos | |
 Manifold Markets87% de coincidencia · auto | — | 50% | — | — | — | hace 27 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Argentina Presidential Election Winner (Polymarket)
1a
+4.6pt50%
-0.2pt41.8%
+1.0pt3%
+11 resultados más
Pronóstico comunitario17 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$3.9k2 jul27d de datos28 jul
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A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).