Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónLatin AmericaEurope4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 65%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado17 ene 26, 0:52 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- As of January 3, 2026, Nicolás Maduro was captured by U.S. forces and Vice-president Delcy Rodríguez was installed as acting president, leaving the timing of the next presidential election unclear.
- This market resolves YES if the next presidential election held in Venezuela meets international standards for free and fair elections.
- Resolution will be based on assessments from credible international election observation missions, including the Carter Center, UN Panel of Electoral Experts, and other recognized international observers.
- Key criteria include: transparent vote counting with disaggregated results published by polling station, absence of systematic fraud or irregularities, freedom of candidate registration and campaign activities, absence of widespread voter intimidation or repression, and media access for all candidates.
- Resolution will reference reports from these organizations and statements from major international bodies (EU, OAS, U.S. State Department, etc.).
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair??
- Está previsto que Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria