Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 67.1%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado17 mar 25, 19:17 UTC2 dic 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Brazil's 2026 election be free and fair?
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KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketReglas
Obviously subjective.
- Any significant restrictions on 2026 voting (e.g., all voting must be in person) will result in this being resolved NO.
- Update 2025-10-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve NO if:
- Representatives-elect are not sworn in to Congress
- An entire state delegation is considered invalid
- Any situation similar to the Representative-elect Adelita Grijalva case occurs
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 606,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 721 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 411,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de The 2026 US Congressional election will be free and fair?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 67% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve The 2026 US Congressional election will be free and fair?
- Está previsto que The 2026 US Congressional election will be free and fair se resuelva el 2 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida The 2026 US Congressional election will be free and fair?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Obviously subjective.