Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 9:52 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 65%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado8 dic 25, 0:53 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that, before January 1st 2035, old consumer computing hardware experiences a qualitatively new, AI‑driven price boom, such that at least three of the criteria below are clearly satisfied.
- What this market is about
- This market is trying to capture a world where:
- New wafer capacity and manufacturing are heavily tilted toward high‑end AI accelerators and memory,
- Consumer‑grade new PCs and consoles are relatively under‑supplied, and
- Software + cloud integration make even 8–20‑year‑old devices surprisingly useful as AI agents / inference endpoints,
