Will a privately-held company ever become the most valuable in the world?
ExchangesOne-OffNegocios y empresasAccionesEventos corporativosEspacioTecnologíaIA2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 81.5%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado17 oct 26, 17:53 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Will a company that is privately held (never held an IPO, or a public company that has been taken private) ever be valued more than the most valuable public company? By market close.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if at any point a privately-held company achieves an implied or transaction-based equity valuation greater than the market capitalization of the world's most valuable publicly listed company at that same time.
- For the purposes of this market:
- A privately-held company is defined as an operating commercial enterprise whose equity shares are not publicly traded on a recognized stock exchange (including companies that have never executed an IPO, as well as previously public companies that have been taken private).
- State-owned sovereign enterprises or government ministries whose shares do not have private equity ownership stakes or primary third-party private equity financing rounds are excluded.
