Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualMarch 31, 2027 66.2%+16.2ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+16.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
21 sept 26, 8:32 UTC14 abr 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
PolymarketWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
PolymarketWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
LimitlessWill the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
PolymarketWill the next round of US-Iran peace talks result in a cease-fire lasting at least 30 days?
Manifold MarketsReglas
These markets will resolve identically to these ones, on Polymarket: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by the named outcome?
- On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue.(see: 404 - Page not foundplayShow navigation menuplaysearchsearchblinking-dotfacebooktwitteryoutubeinstagram-colored-outlinerssblueskytiktok-colored-outline
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
- Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+10.5pt95%
- September 30+7.5pt85%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 483,5 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.5pt63%
- October 31+3.0pt39%
- September 30+1.0pt10%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+2.2pt98%
- September 25+9.3pt97%
- September 23+11.5pt86%
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Volumen total
- 58,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 163 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 316%
- September 30-0.4pt1%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets cotiza March 31, 2027 al 66% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? [Polymarket]?
- Está previsto que Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? [Polymarket] se resuelva el 14 de abril de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: These markets will resolve identically to these ones, on Polymarket: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by the named outcome?