Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 0:14 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual2080-2089 19.1%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado9 jun 25, 3:02 UTC31 dic 20, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
As a bloc, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN - Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam) already forms one of the world's largest collective economies.
- 2025 IMF World Economic Outlook data put ASEAN's combined GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) at roughly US $13 trillion, versus US $30.5 trillion for the United States — a little over 40 % of U.S. size today.
- Continued rapid growth in populous members such as Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam, together with steady expansion in services and high-tech hubs like Singapore and Malaysia, leads many forecasters to ask when the region might finally grow to twice the size of the U.S. economy in PPP terms.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to the first calendar year in which ASEAN’s combined GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is at least 2.00 times (≥200%) the GDP (PPP) of the United States, based on the following rules:
- Primary data source — Use the April or October release of the IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) for the relevant year.
