If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElecciónCrime & Justice2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 67.5%
Pronosticadores
28
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado2 sept 23, 22:05 UTC6 nov 28, 4:59 UTC
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Trump, as well as some other Republican candidates, might pardon Trump if they become the president and Trump is convicted.
- But will they actually do so?
- Resolves to N/A if all of Trump's investigations are closed without convictions.
- Resolves yes if Trump has been pardoned by the president by the 2028 election day.
- Resolves no if Trump has not been pardoned by the time.
- If the pardon is challenged by the courts, this will resolve yes regardless.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 68% a fecha de 19 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)?
- Está previsto que If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028) se resuelva el 6 de noviembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Trump, as well as some other Republican candidates, might pardon Trump if they become the president and Trump is convicted.