If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?
One-OffIATecnologíaCiencia2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 69%
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8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado2 feb 25, 13:28 UTC1 ene 29, 5:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
See https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed and similar questions for AGI.
- The criteria is that one of them will resolve YES.
- I don't see a lot of singularity questions but there is this: https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/singularity-by-2030.
- [link preview]
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 69% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred??
- Está previsto que If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: See https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed and similar questions for AGI.