Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 68.8%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado29 mar 24, 10:39 UTC31 dic 45, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will SBF be released from prison before Donald Trump dies
Manifold MarketsWhich people will say that AGI has been achieved, by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsIf Manifold deems AGI to have been achieved, will Manifold also agree that the singularity has occurred?
Manifold MarketsImran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketSBF released from custody in 2026?
PolymarketMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketReglas
AGI will be taken from other markets on manifold resolving
Mercados abiertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,6 mil €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-5.5pt16%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Volumen total
- 503,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,6 mil €
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+5.5pt70.3%
- Yes-5.5pt29.7%
- Volumen total
- 353,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3128%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.8pt10.8%
+2 resultados más
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan-2.0pt22%
- Mahmoud Khalil17%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero+2.0pt15%
+21 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by which date?
- Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will SBF be released from prison before AGI is achieved?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 69% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will SBF be released from prison before AGI is achieved?
- Está previsto que Will SBF be released from prison before AGI is achieved se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2045.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will SBF be released from prison before AGI is achieved?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: AGI will be taken from other markets on manifold resolving