Given the Republican candidate wins the 2024 presidency, will the real median household income be more than $74,580?
EconomíaOne-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 85.7%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado20 dic 23, 23:20 UTC2 ene 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Did Real Median Income Decrease During the Biden Administration?
Manifold MarketsDid US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
Manifold MarketsWho going to be the Republican 2028 candidate?
Manifold MarketsGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
KalshiUS government budget balance in 2026
KalshiFrance’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiReglas
Resolves N/A if the Republican doesn't win.
- Real median household income is $74,580 as of 2022.
- Resolves based on census.gov.
- This question is basically asking for the probability of stagnation or recession for the median American given the Republican wins.
- See also this question for if the Democrat wins.
- https://www.census.gov/library/publications/2023/demo/p60-279.html#:~:text=Real%20median%20household%20income%20was,and%20Table%20A%2D1).
