Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 90.9%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado18 ene 26, 0:26 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if the EU formally activates the Anti-Coercion Instrument (sometimes known as the trade bazooka) against the United States—meaning the Council confirms by qualified majority that US measures constitute economic coercion under Regulation 2023/2675—before January 1, 2027 CET.
- Preliminary Commission examination or political threats to use the ACI do not count; only a formal Council determination triggers resolution.
Mercados abiertos
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156%
- October 31+0.5pt31.2%
- September 30+4.0pt12.8%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 106,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,4 mil €
KALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 13,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 4,7 mil €
KALSHIWhat will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?
- Fold / Folding / Foldable+10.0pt88%
- Ultra+5.0pt87%
- Apple Intelligence83%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,7 mil €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Canadian aircraft+10.0pt34%
- Wind turbines23%
- Critical minerals-29.0pt11%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 25,3 mil €
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes-7.0pt70%
- No30%
- Volumen total
- 1,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 683,1 €
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027??
- Está previsto que EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the EU formally activates the Anti-Coercion Instrument (sometimes known as the trade bazooka) against the United States—meaning the Council confirms by qualified majority that US measures constitute economic coercion under Regulation 2023/2675—before January 1, 2027 CET.