Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable
Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 62.5%
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado
27 sept 23, 2:45 UTC2 ene 40, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Resultado24hProbabilidad
Reglas
By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak.
This will be achieved by banning transgender content from media and by general control over information and disinformation.
Any officially recognized transgender people will be managed by coerced interventions, either penal or psychiatric, or possibly alternative therapeutic interventions like behavioral therapies, wilderness retreats etc.
¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak?
Manifold Markets cotiza No al 63% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak?
Está previsto que By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2040.
¿Cómo se liquida By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak?
Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: By 2040, a major government will have adopted transgender contagion theory and claimed to have control over the outbreak.