Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies
One-OffMiddle EastGeopolítica3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 93.3%
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27
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado2 mar 26, 4:43 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if, between now and December 31, 2026, the Assembly of Experts is hit by a US or Israeli attack and at least one cleric member dies as a result.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major international news outlets (Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera, etc.) confirming both the attack on the Assembly and at least one confirmed death of a member.
- The market resolves NO if no such attack occurs by the deadline, or if an attack occurs but no members are killed.
- The Assembly of Experts is the deliberative body empowered to appoint the Supreme Leader of Iran.
- The Assembly consists entirely of Shiite clerics who are popularly elected every eight years and whose candidacies are approved by the Guardian Council.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies?
- Está previsto que Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria