Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 57.8%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado30 jul 25, 23:27 UTC4 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Any time between when they win their primary or are otherwise formally confirmed as their party's candidate, and when they take office.
- Arrest required; handcuffs, perp walk, and mug shot optional.
- Update 2025-07-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified what constitutes an 'arrest' for this market:
- An arrest does not require handcuffs, a perp walk, or a mug shot.
- An arrest confirmed via legal proceedings but without these public elements (e.g., Caroline Ellison's arrest) will count.
- Being handcuffed and taken away in a cop car is considered sufficient to count as an arrest.
Mercados abiertos
Crime & Justice
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 16,5 mil €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt19%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Volumen total
- 507,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 7,7 mil €
KALSHIWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Anthony Fauci-2.0pt35%
- John Brennan+1.0pt34%
- Ilhan Omar+3.0pt18%
+38 resultados más
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No70.3%
- Yes29.7%
- Volumen total
- 358 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,1 mil €
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt8%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan+2.0pt26%
- Letitia James+8.9pt15%
- Anthony Fauci+1.0pt14%
+21 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Maduro Prison Time?
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
- Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de 2026 Congressional candidate arrested??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 58% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve 2026 Congressional candidate arrested??
- Está previsto que 2026 Congressional candidate arrested? se resuelva el 4 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida 2026 Congressional candidate arrested??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Any time between when they win their primary or are otherwise formally confirmed as their party's candidate, and when they take office.